Market Reports

 

BTCUSDT

4H analysis

Last week, a bat formation possibility was stated. Recently it turned to be a cypher pattern. Fib 0.786 is the target for this formation. Price can retrace until EMA200, then at least the fair value gap, then range high level will be a likely target.

15 min analysis

Equilibrium of the last impulsive price movement held the price of BTC. There were multiple attempts to break this level. However, candle close was not observed under this level. If any support is tested that much multiple times, then it has a tendency to be broken. In this case, the area shown by the green colour will be the target. Price can reverse from that zone.

XAUUSD

4H analysis

Expected movement was to bounce from either equilibrium of the range or fair value gap. The price reversed from between of these two different price levels. The range is now updated. Current equilibrium levels worked pretty well. Strength of the price was not enough to go beyond the equilibrium. A deviation is likely to happen according to current structure.

15 min analysis

$2650 was tested and price went a bit higher of that level. Currently, bearish movement started on low time frame. Additionally, EMA levels crossed each other, which also shows a bearish structure. Possible short time targets are the liquidities, which are available in the liquidity pool. This region is shown by the red arc.

EURUSD

4H analysis

Although the price struggled to drop to the fair value gap level, drawn by the yellow colour, at the end the price is reached. Now, it is time for a reversal for the higher time frame. After a market structure break, the pair price will be longed for a long time. Recent state of RSI also supports a buy position.

15-min analysis

After reaching the high time frame reaction target, price reversed. During this movement, EMA 20/50/100 crossed to bullish formation overreach other. However, EMA200 has not been crossed yet. There is an accumulation zone within the green box. If the price goes beyond this level, then we can be sure that the price is reversed. After the break of this zone a long position is possible from a retest.

** Important Note: Above ideas are not investment advice!**

 

BTCUSDT

4H analysis

The last range is still valid for bitcoin. We now have two different possibilities according to price behaviour around the green box just above $92k. If the area is not lost, bearish bat pattern can be formed. In this case, range-high will be the target. If the box is lost by closing a candle under there, this will show a weakness and a loss of support will be confirmed. Then, possibly $89k will be the closest target.

15 min analysis

On December 26^th, the market structure shifted to bearish for 15-min chart. This is both seen from the red path and also EMA ribbons confirms the structure. At Sunday noon, the structure could have been shifted to bullish but there was not enough volume to change the structure. In the current view, we are unable to see a positive sign. There are just two bullish RSI divergences but 15-min divergence should not be treated reliable. We can think of a long position if there is a significant character change in the market.

XAUUSD

4H analysis

There is only one dollar of difference since the analysis of the last week. The deviation zone was tested and re-entered the range. Possible targets of the last week still remain valid. Looking at the last candle, equilibrium of the range is a strong target. If candle closes over the equilibrium, then we can expect FVG level to be reached. If this position is realized, then a Quasimodo can be formed. After that, we can think of a further drop of price.

15 min analysis

The last strong downward candle was regarded as a range and the graph on 15-min was plotted between $2650 and $2580. The price is around the equilibrium of this last movement, where it can neither be treated as cheap nor expensive. There is a bullish RSI divergence in the current structure. This is shown by the red circles on the chart. At least $2650 should be the target according to current signs.

EURUSD

4H analysis

A price drop towards 1.02 was possible due to the fair value gap available there. However, the pair price struggled to drop to those levels. The first sign shows that there is an increasing trend. RSI increase also supports this formation. Over the resistance, there is FVG. A potential target is available just above 1.045. on the other hand, there is a double-bottom, which possibly indicates this price level can be a local dip.

15-min analysis

The last strong downward candle regarded as a range. It seems that the equilibrium of this range was exceeded and it hold the price. There is a larger FVG for 15-min chart. There is a possibility for 1.048 pair price for the movement of the price. Current structure indicates an increase.

** Important Note: Above ideas are not investment advice!**

BTCUSDT

4H analysis

The expected correction was achieved by very fast candles last week. This movement was good enough to not allow the market structure to be invalidated. The area just below $99k acts as a support/resistance zone. As the time is in weekend, there is no significant price movements and volume is quite shallow. But as of Monday, a volume increase is possible. The price of BTC will test $104k.

15 min analysis

There is a steady price movement to sideways. If the last downward movement is regarded as a range, the price remains between the equilibrium and range-low level. Range-low was deviated twice. Next target will most likely be range-high. The possible movement will be to break the range-high level. After a retest, higher price targets will be probable.

EURUSD

4H analysis

EURUSD pair still remains at the same price level as it was in the last week. Price could not make a market structure break on 4H chart. After making a market structure shift, we can expect a reversal as shown on the chart. After that price movement, the target will be above fair value gap, which is around 1.085 pair price.

Apart from 4H chart, 15-minute chart is bullish. Price is moving by making higher lows and higher highs. There is an iFVG above. The price will most likely move there. A pullback is possible there. After that, the last higher high will be the target. Also, break of the high point is possible.

XAUUSD

4H analysis

The price of gold remained stable since the last week. Moving averages shows the stability of the price by an almost horizontal line. The last sharp downward movement generated a range. Equilibrium of the range was tested once. Momentum of the price is dropping. Sell-side liquidity can be reached, then I expect a price increase to reach buy-side liquidity and probably hit the bearish order block just over the range high. As the market structure is bearish, further drop is appropriate to the current structure.

15 min analysis

A similar pattern is available for 15-minute chart, compared to 4-hour chart. The last downward movement generated a range and this range has not been violated. The price is within the range and mostly around the equilibrium. A deviation is likely according to chart. The closest place for deviation is the sell-side liquidity. Therefore, $2600 is the recent target. Then, $2690 can be a secondary target for gold.

** Important Note: Above ideas are not investment advice!**

BTCUSDT

4H analysis

$92k was the target for the analysis of the last week. It really tested this zone. $98.7k is an important zone at the top. It was tested three times on 4H chart but was unable to exceed that level. I think the price will try to break one more time. We have to decide what to do at that level. But if that levels reacts, then it can be exceeded in the second time.

15 min analysis

There is a steady increase in the price since it made a MSB on 15 minute chart. Candle was closed under EMA200 but it did not change the market structure. Now the price increases slowly. It can behave similar until it reaches to the yellow box. It will be a critical decision zone. If the level is exceeded with strong candles, then the price can make an ATH.

EURUSD

4H analysis

A significant on the drop of the pair price was available for a long time. Weekly range was deviated from the sell-side. Price is now trying to change the structure on 4H. However, it should be noted that, there is not a market shift in the current time frame. First, 1.06 should be exceeded. Then, we can talk about a reversal. If this is the case, after closing candle over that price, it will turn back to fill FVG. Then it will continue to increase.

15 min analysis

The market structure changed around 1.05 pair price. This happened by a price gap. It was first filled, then price started to move higher levels. There is currently a steady increase. The price is just over a FVG zone. Also, it is under the level, where it will make a MSB on higher time frame. It seems like that, the price will increase to make the market structure change.

XAUUSD

4H analysis

The target of the last week was the bearish order block. However, there was a front run in the price of gold. The price dropped significantly. Now, there is a market structure break like formation. But it is insignificant and in my opinion the lower high was to fill the FVG. That’s why, I think the price will visit the order block, then lose value.

15 min analysis

Exponential moving averages turned from falling lines to steady lines. This indicates a range formation before reversal or continuation. Price deviated the range but couldn’t keep over t range high. Price returned back into the range and closed FVG. Now, the price is ready for a second try to break out and retest, then move to higher levels.

** Important Note: Above ideas are not investment advice!**

BTCUSDT

4H analysis

$92k level was a resistance line for a few days. Now the price started losing its momentum. Below fair value gap can be a target since price cannot hold here. The most significant FVG is over $70k. But it is fairly distant from the current price. After the drop of price to the nearest FVG, price can hold there can move horizontal for some time.

15 min analysis

The short time moving averages first tightened, then broke downwards. There are several ranges but the most recent one is shown in the figure. A movement towards $90.4k is possible but the price will test range low, as it did recently at buy-side of the range boundry.

XAUUSD

4H analysis

Gold price continued its price drop as expected but it did not reach the bearish order block. Support/resistance zone could not hold the price. Previously determined bullish order block is about to hit. Prior to that movement, price swept a swing low point. As the price is bearish, we can expect some retracement from current prices. The target will be above fair value gap zones. The initial target is around $2600.

15 min analysis

15 minute chart turned to be bullish after making a market structure break. Multiple MSBs are available. This shows that MSB can be valid. A range is also formed. Equilibrium of the range held the price but it is reversed from EMA 200. Again equilibrium or the FVG below can be tested. After that price will probably test sell-side boundary of the range.

EURUSD

1W analysis

The weekly chart turned to bearish about a year ago. Price was within a range. Several deviation were realized. Recently, price tested range low. The closest point of interests are the liquidity, shown by a dashed line and the FVG around 1.02 pair price. Weekly RSI reached a local bottom. Price can reverse from these areas until equilibrium of the range.

4H analysis

4H chart is bearish and currently there is no sign for a reversal. If the last lower high is broken by a candle, then a long position can be filled from a suitable FVG, breaker block, or order block. The target can be the fair value gap at 1.085 pair price.

** Important Note: Above ideas are not investment advice!**

 

 

NBTCUSDT

4H analysis

Since the last week, there is a value loss for BTC. In the current 4H chart, the market structure is still bullish since there is no market structure break. RSI is about to cross over-sold region. The initial target can be the liquidity pool and EMA 200. This corresponds to $67k. After that a retracement to the defined FVG is possible. Next movement can be down to $64k where another FVG is available.

15 min analysis

15 minute chart exhibits a bearish character. The only promising formation is the bullish RSI divergence. But for this time frame, RSI divergence is not reliable. Above FVG may attract the price. For HTF chart, the price is close to a local minimum. But further lower targets are available. EMA levels did not cross each other as well. It is logical not to take long positions until we observe a solid market structure shift.

XAUUSD

4H analysis

Price of gold reacted well to the range that was drawn last week. The price is still within the range. The expectation was to make a deviation on the buy-side. It was completed by a move reaching fib 1.618 of the range level. Then, price retested range-mid level, then range-high, and at last range-mid again. Now, we can see a FVG above current price. The price may fill that gap, then continue its movement down to range-low level. The market structure is still bullish. There is no character change in the market. If the price makes a candle close below $2710, then we can talk about a structure break on 4H chart. We should also keep in mind that bearish RSI divergence is available in the current chart.

15 min analysis

Short time frame market structure shifted to bearish. A huge sell pressure was available on the market from the bearish order block. Price left FVG once until the swing low. This value was tested and now close to the recent swing low. EMA levels also plays as a resistance in the current situation. If a market structure break occurs, then, we can think of a long position targeting bearish order block.

EURUSD

4H analysis

On the daily chart, the extreme low values were reached. Last week, we mentioned a lower time frame market structure break. Both HTF POIs were satisfied and the fact that LTF MSB occurred, we expected a rise in the price. Initial targets were reached but the ultimate target will be 1.10 pair price for the current time frame. Disruption of EMA lines also suggest that there is a change in the character  of the market.

15 min analysis

The pair price is just over the fair value gap. This level will probably work as a resistance. The candles can partially or fully fill the gap. After then, we can expect a bullish continuation of the pair price. After reaching the last swing level, a retracement can occur but the HTF target will be reached. If the long positions are closed at the liquidity level, another long position can be taken any LTF FVG zone.

** Important Note: Above ideas are not investment advice!**

 

 

 

BTCUSDT

4H analysis

Fair value gap levels have been quite effective in determining Bitcoin’s price movement over the past week. First, it tapped the FVG near a bearish order block, leading to lower prices. There hasn’t been a genuine bullish market structure break on the 1-hour chart. For the market to be considered bullish, the last higher high must be exceeded, requiring a candle close above $69,590. The next targets could be the FVG below and the liquidity pool underneath.

15 min analysis

Although the price did not change too much during the weekend, a bullish market structure shift is observed on the 15 minute chart. EMA20/50/100/200 ribbons also confirms this shift. Now a retest is possible until $67.2k. But there is some more liquidity levels below that price. The state of the candles should be checked and decided after the sweep of FVG for possible long entries.

XAUUSD

4H analysis

After several weeks of bullish movement, the gold candles on the 4H chart are currently exhibiting a range. The last leg has established the boundaries of this range, which is being influenced by sell-side manipulation. This situation does not indicate a market structure shift. Another manipulation from the buy-side is likely. If the candle momentum is strong, the blue path could be a potential roadmap. Conversely, if the momentum is weak and the candles show shallow increases, the price may re-enter the range.

15 min analysis

Several patterns are visible on the 15-minute chart. The first order block above the equilibrium of the range held the price twice but was broken on the third attempt. Another order block is available above, which could form a bat harmonic pattern. If this pattern becomes valid, the target will be the imbalance below, and we can expect the price to rise toward the range high.

EURUSD

1D analysis

The pair price is still around the same values for one week. After filling the above FVG and reaching TP2 target of the harmonic pattern, it went down a bit more to tap another FVG below. Now the red horizontal line still exists as a target as with the expectation of the last week. That level is also the equilibrium of the last downward leg. Over this line can be regarded as a premium zone.

1H analysis

An obvious market structure break is available on 1H chart. The candles retested the area where the price made a new high. Over 1.1 pair price, there is a significant fair value gap on 1H chart. The price will fill some or entire FVG after reaching the red horizontal line.

** Important Note: Above ideas are not investment advice!**

 

BTCUSDT

4H analysis

On 4H chart, price made higher highs. This means a bullish trend for the current time frame. The distance between the tips of every wick at higher points are becoming shallow. We can observe the momentum loss. RSI is also decreasing somehow. In case of a correction, price can retrace to fib0.618 of the last impulsive leg. This location corresponds to the FVG zone below $64k. Next FVG is just under $62k. After reaching these price, we can expect another bullish impulsive movement.

15 min analysis

Recent price is within a range, which is formed during the weekend. Price finds support from EMA200. The trend push the price three times to higher levels. This trend gained much importance. Range high can be thought for a sell position. If EMA200 cannot hold the price anymore, this location will also be a place for sell position.

XAUUSD

4H analysis

The market structure on 4H time frame is bullish as with the previous weeks. The resistance zone is now broken after a few attempts. Price has sent sometime within the box. All sell positions were exhausted by buy positions. Then, price kept moving upwards. As there is no clear sign for a reversal, we should expect bullish movement. Two options are shown on the chart. The most likely path will be the red one. Price can retest the resistance zone and keep its movement until any momentum loss.

15 min analysis

As with 4H time frame, structure is bullish on 15 minute chart. EMA200 increases like a straight line. This is a sign of a smooth trend. We should not expect any market structure shift in normal cases. The closest point of interests are the below liquidities. Price may sweep these liquidities until $2700 and keep its positive movement.

EURUSD

1D analysis

The fair value gap and TP2 target of the butterfly pattern was reached recently. Now the target can be the shown liquidity with red colour. Its probable value is 1.1 pair price. Current RSI level indicates an oversold region and a possible reversal is currently in play. Short-term analysis will inform us for a possible entry price.

15 min analysis

According to market structure, the lower-high (LH) has not been exceeded yet. This means, the price is still in bearish for 15 minute chart. However, EMA ribbons can show us an early sign of the market structure change. Almost all lower time frame lines crossed EMA200. Therefore, we can think of a possible change in the market. But it will be confirmed after a candle close over 1.087. There is a FVG below current price. Long position can be built there.

** Important Note: Above ideas are not investment advice!**

 

 

BTCUSDT

4H analysis

On HTF, a harmonic pattern was identified previously. Fib 0.382 was first reached and reacted from this area. Price made a lower high. After that priced both slightly closed candle than the previous lower low and swept liquidity. This movement initiated an increase until the trend line shown by blue colour. We can further expect TP2 target unless the trend line is broken towards the higher prices. Current trend shows a drop until $56k.

15 min analysis

Market structure break on 15 minute chart is present on the chart after the recent candles. An impulsive downward movement was observed. We can expect the continuation of this movement. There is a significant zone that can be regarded as order block over $62.5k. short position can be taken from this zone.

XAUUSD

4H analysis

The market structure on 4H time frame is still bullish. This trend has not changed for several weeks. The blue box was a resistance area since it was tested several times but reacted back. Fair value gap worked well last week and price reversed just as a pin point from this area. Now, $2671 is critical. Price can again reverse from this area. If not and break the zone, then we can expect a continuation of the movement.

15 min analysis

As with 4H time frame, structure is bullish on 15 minute chart. EMA200 crossed positive side. To be on the safe side for a possible entry, price is around a FVG zone. An additional FVG is available below, shown by the blue box, around $2645.

 

EURUSD

4H analysis

After nearly completing the downward movement, a bullish RSI divergence is visible on the chart. As this is a 4H chart, the probability is quite high. The price pattern will possibly be an inverse head and shoulder formation. $1.102 is a close target that can be reached.

15 min analysis

When we check exponential moving averages, we can observe a horizontal EMA200 line. After a falling trend this shows us a possible reversal zone after the break of the range. Considering also HTF chart, current price of the pair is in a discount area.

 

BTCUSDT

1D analysis

BTC price reached fib 0.382 of the harmonic pattern, which is tp1. Fib 0.618 is a next target but there is not a certainty that price can reach there. A FVG is available on the top and price can move there. After reaching this level, a short position can be taken unless there is a candle close over D point. LTF chart should be used for confirmation.

4H analysis

Different perspectives are available on the chart. First, the S/R zone was gained on the buy-side. But it remained as a manipulation, then turned back to the yellow zone. It is the neckline of the inverse head and shoulder formation. The area is preserving well the price level. One more try to the blue zone seems reasonable. These price movements are also shown by a range formation. Exceedances from the zone are deviation and the neckline is the equilibrium of the range. Shoulders of the pre-described formation is the sell-side boundary of the range and the rejection block (blue box) is the buy-side boundary of the range.

XAUUSD

4H analysis

The market structure of current time frame is still bullish for gold price. But for some days, the price is unable to move higher price level. A blue box is drawn and price cannot go over this zone. There are two scenarios related to this area. One is to reverse from the zone to the fair value gap. The other is to break it and retest, following an increase. Considering the current momentum, the first scenario is the most likely to happen.

15 min analysis

There was a strong price movement for removing liquidities on either sides. This movement generated a range. Considering this range, an optimal trade entry can be used for a possible entry for a short position. But market structure shift should be observed on a lower time frame.

EURUSD

4H analysis

Previous liquidity pool target reached successfully last week. The pair price drop was quite strong. A retracement is required considering the recent oversold signal from RSI. All FVGs are potential targets. After that, price will want to reach the HTF harmonic pattern target. First, it will reach the FVG below 1.09. The analysis of previous weeks can be checked for a more comprehensive review of the market.

15 min analysis

Price formed several imbalance zones while dropping. The nearest is seen on the figure. We can see the formed bullish RSI divergence. The candle sticks will probably make an inverse head and shoulder formation. After that, at least fib 0.5 of the imbalance will be the target. The candle sticks should be observed for the continuation of the price movement.

** Important Note: Above ideas are not investment advice!**